Northern New Jersey Defies National Market Trends as Seller’s Market Persists

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While most of the United States is seeing more favorable conditions for buyers, northern New Jersey stands out as an exception, maintaining a strong seller’s market despite national dynamics shifting. This regional resilience underscores the value of local market knowledge over national headlines when making real estate decisions.

Thomas “Chopper” Russo, leader of one of New Jersey’s top-performing real estate teams at RE/MAX Select, has a front-row seat to this local divergence. Ranked second in New Jersey and 37th nationally, Russo’s team handles residential sales and leasing, commercial transactions, property management, and business sales across Bergen, Passaic, and Morris counties. Their structure and strategy offer insight into why this region continues to outperform national trends.

From Manufacturing to Real Estate Leadership

Russo’s entry into real estate followed a career in furniture manufacturing, where he managed factories and properties across three continents. After obtaining his real estate license in 2008, he shifted entirely to the industry by 2010. Russo’s move was deliberate, shaped by his experience in business management and an eye for scalable opportunities.

Instead of operating as generalists, Russo’s team members specialize in distinct segments: residential leasing, commercial sales and leasing, property management, and business sales. Residential specialists are further divided between luxury markets, first-time buyers, and general services. This division of labor allows the team to address the nuanced needs of each client type and respond quickly to market changes.

Professional Development as a Differentiator

Russo’s commitment to expertise extends to ongoing professional education. As New Jersey’s first Master Certified Negotiation Expert, he traveled to Seattle twice to earn a designation that covers negotiation strategies for a wide range of situations and personalities. Nearly every team member now holds the MCNE credential, and Russo himself maintains 30 different accreditations and certifications. He believes this focus on skill-building is necessary because “this real estate market is constantly changing.”

Technology also plays a role. The team has integrated artificial intelligence tools into their workflow to improve efficiency and data analysis. Russo is clear that technology enhances but does not replace the value of experienced agents. “It’s a good tool to make you more efficient,” he says, but emphasizes that personal expertise remains essential.

Market Dynamics: Northern New Jersey as an Outlier

Despite national reports of buyers gaining leverage, northern New Jersey remains a market where sellers hold the advantage. Russo points to a persistent supply and demand imbalance: “The majority of the United States at the present moment is in a buyer’s market. Northern New Jersey, Bergen County, Passaic, Morris County, is still in a seller’s market. We still have a supply-and-demand imbalance. There are not enough sellers, and there are definitely more buyers.”

This local reality contradicts the dominant national narrative. Russo cautions against relying on broad market headlines, noting that “the headlines today are there to terrify, not to clarify, but those national headlines don’t apply to this market.”

Interest rates, typically a key factor in cooling markets, have not produced the expected price corrections in northern New Jersey. Russo observes that “all the rules got broken because one of the rules was, if interest rates go up, prices go down, but it didn’t this time.” Instead, local demand and limited supply have kept prices stable or rising, even as borrowing costs have increased.

Migration Patterns and Market Sensitivity

Media coverage has spotlighted New Yorkers moving to New Jersey, but Russo sees this as a continuation of long-standing patterns rather than a sudden shift. He explains that people from the five boroughs have been relocating to New Jersey for generations, typically seeking more space and a break from city congestion. The recent attention to this migration, he suggests, is more about increased awareness than a dramatic new trend.

These families usually seek “a little bit more land” and quieter neighborhoods, reinforcing the region’s appeal for buyers looking to escape urban density. The pandemic may have accelerated some moves, but the underlying drivers remain consistent.

Pricing Reality and Market Positioning

Home prices in northern New Jersey reflect both broader affordability pressures and local stability. Entry-level homes in Oakland that once sold for $350,000 now start at $550,000 to $600,000. In Franklin Lakes, entry prices have climbed from $700,000 to $900,000 or even $1 million.

Russo notes that the region’s prices have not experienced the dramatic swings seen elsewhere. “Northern New Jersey was never one to skyrocket as other areas would. What goes up fast comes down fast. Even when the bottom fell out here in 2010, yes, the prices dropped, but on a percentage basis, it was not as significant as other parts of the United States.”

He attributes this stability to the area’s economic diversity and proximity to major employment centers, which create consistent demand and cushion the market during national corrections.

Competitive Strategies in a Seller’s Market

Even with sellers in control, buyers face intense competition. Multiple-offer situations are common, and winning bids often require strategic concessions. Russo advises buyers to structure offers that stand out, including waiving inspections, appraisal, or mortgage contingencies, or offering flexible closing terms, such as allowing the seller to remain in the home for several months after closing.

Understanding the motivations of both parties is crucial for successful negotiations. Russo stresses the importance of both sides being transparent about their goals to facilitate smoother transactions.

Information Overload: Challenges and Opportunities

The internet and mobile technology have fundamentally changed how buyers and sellers approach real estate. Russo observes that “everyone knows more today. You have more power in your cell phone than ever before. Put on top of that, the use of AI.” Buyers arrive with more information but also face the challenge of separating fact from opinion in a crowded media landscape.

Russo warns that “the adage that somebody stole a house, a property, or a business, those are over. There are so many avenues to market, there are so many avenues for information.” The abundance of data means that buyers and sellers must work harder to distinguish reliable information from speculation or clickbait.

Looking Ahead: Cautious Growth

Russo expects next year to bring continued stability, with modest increases in prices and inventory. “I think you’ll see a two to four percent increase in values. As far as units available, I think we’ll see a similar increase. I don’t think we’ll go back. It’ll be a while before we get to the so-called normal years of 2019.”

He acknowledges that the definition of a “normal” market is evolving. The experiences of the past several years may set the standard for what future buyers and sellers consider typical.

Investment Considerations

For investors, Russo emphasizes matching strategies to individual strengths and risk tolerance. Some are well-suited to multifamily properties and hands-on management, while others may prefer single-tenant assets with stable, creditworthy tenants. He cautions that there is no universal formula for success; outcomes depend on execution and timing as much as market selection.

Local Expertise Remains Essential

Northern New Jersey’s ongoing strength in the face of national headwinds demonstrates the limits of broad generalizations in real estate. Local factors—economic diversity, proximity to employment, and sustained demand—continue to support the market, even as national trends point in a different direction.

For buyers and sellers navigating this environment, local expertise and a clear understanding of market fundamentals are more valuable than ever. Russo’s closing advice sums up his approach: “We rarely succeed unless we have fun doing it.” This philosophy, grounded in both skill and perspective, has helped his team and clients thrive in a region that continues to chart its own course.

Steve Marcinuk
Steve Marcinuk
Steve Marcinuk is co-founder of KeyCrew and features editor at the KeyCrew Journal, where he interviews industry leaders and writes in-depth analysis on real estate, construction technology, and property innovation trends. His work provides unique insights into how technology is leading evolution in these industries. Since 2015, Steve has scaled and exited two digital content and communications startups while establishing himself as a thought leader in AI-driven content strategy. His industry analysis has been featured in VentureBeat, PR Daily, MarTech Series, The AI Journal, Fair Observer, and What's New in Publishing, where he contributes insights on the practical and ethical implications of AI in modern communications. Through the KeyCrew Marketing Studio, Steve partners with forward-thinking real estate and technology companies to transform complex industry expertise into compelling narratives that capture media attention. This approach has consistently delivered results, with real estate clients featured in Property Shark, Commercial Edge, Barron's, and Forbes for coverage spanning lending trends, market analysis, and property technology. His strategic guidance has secured client coverage in over 450 leading outlets, including The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, and Reuters, helping organizations build authentic thought leadership positions that move their business forward. Steve holds a magna cum laude degree in Marketing and Entrepreneurship from the Wharton School of Business and splits his time between South Florida and Medellín, Colombia, where he lives with his wife Juliana and their two young boys.

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